If the Prime Minister chooses to lean
on his personal popularity, could he obtain
and sustain enough political support ? There is no easy answer or quick fix
to the gathering predicament.
“I don’t have any “aim” when I write my
articles, other than to present the situation as I understand it. I don’t have
any intention, right, or ability to interfere with, let alone alter, Ethiopia’s
political course.”
One must see things in their movement
rather than in their fixity. The EPRDF is the only path toward maintaining the
unity of the country and consolidating it by means of democratic reforms.
"Abiy Ahmed has already gone
down in history for
addressing the pressing demands of the vast majority of Ethiopians... But Abiy Ahmed made three
mammoth strategic errors."
The
dramatic changes of the last months have moved Ethiopia away from “the gates of hell ”, but all options
are still on the table, from the worst to the best.
Ultimately, the only route to its successful end is
regulation through institutional mechanisms, which means elections, whether
early or within the normal electoral cycle.
What
is urgent is to bring down the tension by focusing the hopes and energies of
the activists on a political way out, in the form of a tested, unchallengeable
mechanism.